19:00 · Dundalk

BAR 1 Betting 'Bet 10 Get 70' Handicap (0-60)

1m 2f 150yStandard3YO plusPOLYTRACKHandicap16 runners
Ordered by projected finish
15
Top Pick1
OR 58
7/1
Signor Ferrari silks

Dorothy Heffernan

5yo Gelding · 10-0

Invincible Army - Altogether (King's Best)

Reserve 1P J F Murphy60%
743655
4.0

Dual winner here in early-2025. Sent off favourite on third start back from an absence at Punchestown 3 days ago, finishing 3 lengths fifth to Chloe's Boy. Respected back on the all-weather. RESERVE

Class Advantage

14/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par14/0328/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par27/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 2f 150y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%14/03Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 85%27/05Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 73%23/08Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 69%15/09
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.7%Ahead 3/4
10
2
OR 48
7/2
Without Love silks

Noel Flanagan

4yo Gelding · 9-4

Without Parole - Milldale (Bushranger)

Ben Coen70%Cian Hughes60%
022686
4.0
Visor

Opened his account over C&D in January. Nearly doubled his tally at Limerick earlier in the summer. Beaten 2½ lengths in Down Royal handicap latest and looks on a potentially handy mark if recapturing his best on all-weather return.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par13/033/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par5/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 2f 150y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 12 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 15%13/03Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 91%11/07Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%27/08Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 55%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.2%Ahead 1/4
4
Market Fav7
OR 50
5/2
Chloe's Boy silks

Derek Flanagan & Derek Tighe

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Sottsass - Flying Fairies (Holy Roman Emperor)

Siobhan Rutledge1/6H Rogers60%
060091
4.0
Cheek pieces

Lightly-raced 3-y-o who got off the mark in similar company at Punchestown (9f) 3 days ago. Isn't fully exposed stepping back up in trip under a 7-lb penalty and could have a bit more to offer on all-weather bow.

Class Advantage

8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/0717/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 14%8/07Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 18%1/08Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 60%5/09Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +47.9%Ahead 4/4
6
8
OR 49
10/1
Anchors Away silks

Diamond Eyes Syndicate

4yo Gelding · 9-5

U S Navy Flag - Bonny Rose (Zaha)

Rory Cleary0/4M G Quinn60%
394006
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Low mileage for his age. Best effort when third in a C&D maiden in January. Continued below form when beaten 10 lengths (second and third won since) in a handicap here last time, however, he's been given a handy 6 lb reprieve. Worth another chance from a useful-looking draw.

Class Advantage

28/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0113/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par28/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par24/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par15/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 16
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m 2f 150y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 71%28/01Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 80%28/05Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 22 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%9/07Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 62%15/08
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.4%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 60
10/1
Star Mind silks

Lance Bloodstock Limited

5yo Mare · 10-2

Advertise - Rowan Brae (Haafhd)

Danny O'Leary0/2−10lbGerard O'Leary
351806
3.0

Dual winner on the all-weather in the UK. Hasn't kicked on from her win at Leopardstown in April, very slowly away when well held at Brighton last time. Does at least benefit from an ease in grade (third in similar company here earlier in the year).

Class Advantage

27/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par27/031/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par15/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par15/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par6/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 2f 150y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%27/03Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%15/04Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%6/08Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%24/08
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.5%Ahead 3/4
3
3
OR 52
33/1
Doctor Grace silks

Dundalk Racing Club

6yo Mare · 9-8

Buratino - Firecrown (Iffraaj)

Adam Caffrey60%0/5A McGuinness60%
21U000
4.0
Cheek pieces

C&D winner who ended a long losing run at Roscommon in May. Well held at longish odds 3 completed starts since. Return of more established jockey suggests a bounce back could be on the cards, and she's potentially well treated off her lower all-weather mark.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par10/0423/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par11/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par12/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par24/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par4/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 16
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 2f 150y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 64%10/04Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%11/05Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%24/06Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 15%4/09
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.6%Ahead 4/4
2
6
OR 58
6/1
Syosset silks

Ms Caroline Ahearn

5yo Gelding · 10-0

Crystal Ocean - Ambria (Monsun)

Donagh O'Connor60%J C McConnell
090137
5.0Going 7.0

Sole success came in this grade here (1½m) last November. Arrives fit from a spell over hurdles (has been in reasonable heart) and is weighted to be competitive on return to the Flat.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par6/036/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par23/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par3/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par8/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 16
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 2f 150y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 54%6/03Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 87%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%23/07Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%8/08Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%8/09
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.1%Ahead 2/4
7
12
OR 55
10/1
Wild Berries silks

John Bowden

3yo Filly · 9-5

Acclamation - Cautious Dreams (Bernardini)

Reese Holohan60%0/1−7lbR O'Sullivan60%
690700
2.0
Cheek pieces

Speedily-bred sort who showed fair form as a juvenile. Hasn't gone on as expected in handicaps this year, weakening when beaten 5 lengths in first-time cheekpieces at Navan (9f) latest. First try over 1¼m here.

Class Advantage

24/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/0818/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par3/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par12/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 2f 150y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 64%24/08Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 24%3/06Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 43%6/08Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%2/09
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.9%Ahead 4/4
16
10
OR 51
5/1
Alto Sax silks

Normal People Partnership

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Saxon Warrior - Full Credit (Cacique)

Reserve 2Peter Fahey60%
259260
2.0
Blinkers

Has won twice in this grade already this year (including 1m handicap here). Gone close twice since, too, but found run of good form coming to a halt at Clonmel on Wednesday. RESERVE

Class Advantage

9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par9/0715/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par16/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 95%9/07Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 71%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%16/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%5/09Pos 11 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 11 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 23%16/09
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.9%Ahead 1/4
14
16
OR 41
12/1
He Knows When silks

Mrs Margaret Comer

6yo Colt · 8-11

Dick Whittington - Paksiyma (Dalakhani)

James RyanL Comer
844348
3.0

Maiden who hit the frame in 4 consecutive handicaps (including twice at this course) in 2023/24. Off for 26 months prior to finishing 10¾ lengths eighth of 21 at Navan (40/1) earlier this month. Should at least be better for that run.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par8/118/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/12 · mark par2/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/02 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m 2f 150y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 46%8/11Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 77%2/02Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 84%13/07Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 65%5/09
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +54.0%Ahead 4/4
9
4
OR 48
25/1
Jazz Forever silks

Staysallday Syndicate

6yo Gelding · 9-4

Elzaam - Harranda (Red Ransom)

Luke McAteer0/3P W Flynn70%
830000
3.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Sole success came over C&D in April 2024. Close third in this grade at Navan in June. Struggling for form of late but looks interesting off a much-reduced mark on return to the all-weather.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/047/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 15%24/04Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 87%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 27%3/07Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 20 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 10%27/08Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 35%5/09
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 11-16 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.5%Ahead 2/4
13
9
OR 48
33/1
Onyeisi silks

Gary Ryan

3yo Gelding · 8-12

Profitable - Fire Dancing (Iffraaj)

J Cleary0/1K Thornton60%
740700
2.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Consistent performer on the all-weather for Charlie Johnston last winter. Largely struggled on turf for current connections, however, looks potentially well treated returning to this surface with usual blinkers back on.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par1/065/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 16th of 16
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 54%1/06Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 23%22/06Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%12/08Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 27%2/09
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.4%Ahead 2/4
5
14
OR 50
16/1
Suerte silks

Suerte Partnership

4yo Filly · 9-6

Dandy Man - Clytha (Mark Of Esteem)

Gary CarrollS Lavery
700600
2.0
Tongue strap

Went as close as she has when runner-up in 6f novice here on second career start. Slow starts haven't helped her cause in 7f/1m turf handicaps of late. Still relatively lightly raced on this surface, though, could outrun her odds if staying the longer trip (sister to smart 9f winner).

Class Advantage

11/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par11/0418/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par6/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 54%11/04Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%3/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 36%25/08Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%2/09
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.6%Ahead 4/4
8
11
OR 54
33/1
Aiteall silks

E S Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Wootton Bassett - Dramatically (War Front)

J M Sheridan60%0/1J P O'Brien
0500
2.0
Tongue strap

€400,000 son of Wootton Bassett. Fared no better for the addition of a tongue strap/switch to handicap at Cork (1m) last time (again friendless in the betting). Foolish to totally discount given his pedigree/connections.

Class Advantage

6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/0815/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0820/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/0830/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 8%6/08Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 44%15/08Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 25%20/08Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%30/08
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.7%Ahead 3/4
12
13
OR 48
16/1
Coul Dore silks

Nigel O'Hare/Kabin Racing Syndicate

3yo Gelding · 8-12

Coulsty - Half Dore (Siyouni)

Gavin RyanW R Crawford60%
002908
2.0
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Standout effort (in a first-time hood) when nearly making all at Fairyhouse in June. Wasn't revived by a first-time tongue strap at Down Royal last time. Well drawn off 3 lb lower here, though.

Class Advantage

12/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/118/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 2f 150y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 23%12/11Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 92%5/06Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 27%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 15%15/08Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 42%4/09
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.1%Ahead 2/4
11
15
OR 47
10/1
Whosethebestboy silks

Frank Reynolds

6yo Gelding · 9-3

El Kabeir - Dromana (Dutch Art)

Billy Lee60%R Brabazon
D55000
2.0

Low-mileage 6-y-o. Didn't offer much in first-time hood on return/stable debut at Navan (1m) latest. Hard to be confident on all-weather bow, even with Billy Lee booked.

Class Advantage

23/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0621/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 2f 150y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%23/06Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 43%16/08Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 12 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 27%18/05Pos 14 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 14 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 13%2/09
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.7%Ahead 2/4