20:54 · Churchill Downs

Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 105
7/5
Camp Hale silks

Whitham Thoroughbreds Llc

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Mo Town - Magic Hour (Awesome Again)

Brian Jr Hernandez60%2/11Ian Wilkes60%
133432
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par18/0522/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par3/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par28/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%18/05Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%3/04Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%28/05Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%22/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.7%Ahead 0/4
1
5
OR 97
7/2
Doroteo silks

Paradise Farms Corp And Staudacher, David

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Bolt D'oro - Place Card (Lemon Drop Kid)

Jose Ortiz60%Michael Maker60%
533124
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

31/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/01 · mark par31/0114/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par13/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par9/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength18%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%31/01Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%13/03Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%13/06Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%17/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.3%Ahead 2/4
2
3
OR 104
4/1
Jefferson Street silks

Godolphin, Llc

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Street Sense - Apiary (Bernardini)

Luis Saez60%William Mott60%
127255
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

7/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par7/0626/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par24/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par21/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par26/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/10 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move3
Strength87%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%7/06Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%24/08Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 43%26/10Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%22/08
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.9%Ahead 0/4
4
6
OR 97
6/1
Vamos Carlitos silks

Bryan McCrea

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Catholic Boy - Gabeira (Medaglia D'oro)

Edgar Morales60%0/4Gregory Foley60%
315624
5.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

19/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par19/0219/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par2/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%19/02Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 69%2/05Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 91%27/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%19/07
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.6%Ahead 3/4
8
4
OR 106
8/1
Market Street silks

Hulfachor, David And Blanco, Pedro

5yo Horse · 8-9

Street Sense - Quality Way (Quality Road)

Cristian Torres60%0/2Aaron Shorter
147267
4.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

26/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par26/0526/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par2/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par20/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%26/05Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%2/08Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%6/06Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 14%1/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.3%Ahead 2/4
5
Value2
OR 96
15/1
Tap Me A Song silks

Cowboys And Razorbacks Racing Stables Llc

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Tapiture - Gwithian (Street Sense)

Gabriel Saez2/7Carlos Santamaria60%
182148
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

22/02 · C7 · finish vs mark above22/02 · mark par22/0210/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par8/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par3/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%22/02Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%8/05Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 4 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 0%6/07Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%9/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.8%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 94
15/1
Ship Ship Hooray silks

Rory Zweifel

4yo Colt · 8-9

Midshipman - Rithm And Rap (Algorithms)

Victor CarrascoSarah Shaffer60%
112512
7.0

Class Advantage

6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/065/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par1/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par5/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%6/06Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%13/08Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%4/06Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%5/07
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.3%Ahead 3/4
6
8
OR 97
20/1
Beach Colt silks

Munoz Family Stable

8yo Gelding · 8-11

Competitive Edge - Summer Plot (Harlan's Holiday)

Hector Berrios60%A Sanchez60%
849321
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

7/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par7/025/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below5/04 · mark par3/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%7/02Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%3/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%29/07Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%9/08
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.5%Ahead 3/4