IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. newton-abbot
  3. race-2

13:37 · Newton Abbot

Southlands Care Home Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 167yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 120
15/8
Fine Thing silks

Mr Bill Hawkins

Fine Thing

5yo Mare · 11-12

Soldier Of Fortune - Presenteea (Presenting)

Harry Skelton80%2/3D Skelton80%
2P2311
9.0Going 7.0

Placed in Irish points and built on bumper third with success in novice at Uttoxeter. Got the better of the odds-on favourite when following up in a match race at Stratford and she holds obvious claims of completing the hat-trick if coping with the drop in trip (doesn't look short of speed).

Class Advantage

19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/0615/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/0720/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 60%19/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%15/07Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%20/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.0%Ahead 2/3
4
3
13/2
Little Lady Rock silks

Mr Nick Scholfield

Little Lady Rock

5yo Mare · 11-7

Poet's Word - Our Polly (Saint Des Saints)

S Bowen80%0/1Nick Scholfield
22281
7.0Going 9.0

Found only one too good on all 3 outings in bumpers for Ryan Potter last summer. Left hurdles debut/return well behind when winning maiden at Market Rasen on second start for Shaun Lycett in June, suited by the way the race developed. Has since changed yards again.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/068/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%4/06Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 88%8/07Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 92%25/07Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%6/06Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%5/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.7%Ahead 2/4
2
2
OR 105
9/2
Babs silks

Sue Howell

Babs

5yo Mare · 11-7

Poet's Word - Magnetize (Gold Well)

Kielan Woods60%2/5Henry Oliver
177521
8.0Class ↓3Going 8.0

Debut bumper winner who has progressed with each run over hurdles, off the mark at the third attempt at Worcester when last seen in June. Beat a subsequent winner with plenty in hand that day so she rates a serious player.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/107/12 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength57%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%6/10Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 54%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%7/03Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 89%27/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%17/06
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.4%Ahead 3/4
3
4
7/2
Kamille Au Kanada silks

Goodall & Warwick-rogers

Kamille Au Kanada

6yo Mare · 11-7

Tiger Groom - Dragey Plage (Crillon)

Sam Twiston-Davies70%1/3A J Honeyball60%
D1421
8.0Class ↓3Going 7.0
Tongue strap

First past the post on both starts in points (disqualified first occasion) and showed a fair bit in a couple of bumpers. Completed a simple task on hurdles bow at Plumpton in May and she remains with potential.

Class Advantage

7/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/036/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/0426/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength19%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%7/03Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 67%6/04Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 1/3 | Actual: 100%26/05
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.1%Ahead 1/3
8
7
OR 102
7/1
Yeld To Call silks

Culverhill Racing Club Ii

Yeld To Call

5yo Mare · 11-0

Great Pretender - Yosille (Blue Bresil)

C Gethings60%0/6Mrs J Williams
4442P5
5.0
Tongue strap

Strong claims on the form she showed when second in 2m Taunton novice in February but well below that level next 2 starts in the spring and yard remains quiet.

Class Advantage

18/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/1212/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/02 · mark par19/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/04projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%18/12Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%20/11Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%3/02Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%19/04
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.5%Ahead 3/4
7
5
33/1
Nala The Lioness silks

Mr Graeme P McPherson

Nala The Lioness

6yo Mare · 11-0

Roaring Lion - Rive Gauche (Fastnet Rock)

Nick Slatter60%0/2D Killahena & G McPherson
222P37
5.0Class ↓4Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Modest winner on the Flat. Well held switched to hurdles in recent weeks.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/048/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%25/04Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%19/06Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 85%19/08Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%4/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.6%Ahead 2/4
5
6
OR 81
12/1
Ask Peter silks

Anthony Honeyball Racing Club

Ask Peter

7yo Mare · 11-0

Jukebox Jury - Attima (Zafonic)

James Robottom0/8−10lbA J Honeyball60%
742463
5.0
Tongue strap

Twice a winner on the Flat but she remains a maiden over hurdles and has plenty to find even on best form.

Class Advantage

12/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/02 · mark par12/029/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par19/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 167y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%12/02Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%12/06Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%19/07Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%27/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.4%Ahead 1/4
6
8
20/1
Lara K silks

Mrs C Williams

Lara K

5yo Mare · 11-0

Make Believe - Shanjia (Soldier Hollow)

Conor Ring60%Mrs C Williams
No form3.0

Make Believe mare. Half-sister to 3 winners on Flat, including useful 7f-1¼m winner Bobby K. Dam 9f winner.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish8th of 80% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%