3
Motown Filly
2yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 77
Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Fillies' Nursery · 7f 50y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength73%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newmarket | 1 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -51.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |