IvyArcIvyArc
4

Necromancer

2yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 71

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Fillies' Nursery · 7f 50y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

38%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed big improvement on much softer ground than previously when winning Beverley maiden with a bit in hand 3 weeks ago. Opening mark looks a fair one and further rain would increase her chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newmarket 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f GF 12218/0744 @ Newmarket 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f GF 12214/0844 @ Beverley 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 7f75y Sft 12529/084projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Beverley41st1st0
2026-08-14Newmarket46th6th0
2026-07-18Newmarket45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0714/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/07/20265th10/147%56%+0.08
14/08/20266th5/287%50%-0.37
29/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18