5

One Shot Kodi

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 70

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Fillies' Nursery · 7f 50y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has loads of scope for a juvenile and she showed improved form switched to a nursery when length second to Diplomata at Haydock, looking like she'd slipped the field until the winner surged once in the clear. Diplomata was value for extra that day but this filly is 6 lb better off now.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Redcar 26/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f217y Goo 12826/0544 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 6f Sta 12525/0743 @ Newcastle 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/0835 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 66 · 6f212y Sft 127 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 66 par3/095OR 66projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Haydock52nd3rd1
2026-08-20Newcastle34th3rd+1
2026-07-25Newcastle47th7th0
2026-05-26Redcar48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0525/0720/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/05/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
25/07/20267th125/10%54%+0.54
20/08/20264th40/10%57%+0.57
03/09/20262nd13/266%89%+0.23