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8

Sara's Silver Girl

2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 66

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Fillies' Nursery · 7f 50y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hinted at ability in 3 qualifying runs and return to further will suit on nursery bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f50y Gd 1286/0744 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f6y GF 12822/0744 @ Carlisle 19/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f182y Goo 12819/084projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Carlisle45th5th0
2026-07-22Catterick44th4th0
2026-07-06Ayr45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0722/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength26%

Delivery trend -11.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20265th40/10%56%+0.56
22/07/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
19/08/20265th40/10%33%+0.33