IvyArcIvyArc
1

Dontlookanyfurther

2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 91

Ayr · Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs EBF Nursery · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Space Traveller colt who is progressing rapidly, supplementing his Redcar novice win under a penalty at Thirsk 2 weeks ago. Was very impressive on latter occasion and with more to come, his opening mark could be lenient.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 1301/0755 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 5f217y Goo 13022/0852 @ Thirsk 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 78 par5/092OR 78projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Thirsk21st1st0
2026-08-22Redcar51st5th−3
2026-07-01Thirsk56th10th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0722/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%

Delivery trend -9.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20266th16/116%50%+0.34
22/08/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
05/09/20261st11/486%100%+0.14