6
Influencer Man
2yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 82
Ayr · Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs EBF Nursery · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Newcastle | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-08-11 | Carlisle | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-18 | Ripon | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -12.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |