13
Inns And Out
2yo Gelding · 8-2 · OR 67
Ayr · Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs EBF Nursery · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 6 | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-08-25 | Musselburgh | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Thirsk | 6 | 9th | 14th | −4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 4 | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Ripon | 5 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 4 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 24/07/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |