Siouxperb

2yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 88

Ayr · Get Home Safe With Thistle Cabs EBF Nursery · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength25%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 1

Recent avg: C2.3

Today: 2

Class gap: -0.2

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-19	York	1	8th	6th	+1	3.7
2026-07-31	Newcastle	4	2nd	4th	−2	5.6
2026-06-16	Royal Ascot	1	18th	16th	+2	1.0
2026-04-21	Yarmouth	4	1st	3rd	−2	6.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%

▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price

Trend▲

Strength87%

Delivery trend +7.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
21/04/2026	1st	4/6	96%	100%	+0.04
16/06/2026	18th	12/1	37%	15%	-0.22
31/07/2026	2nd	15/8	90%	86%	-0.04
19/08/2026	8th	50/1	0%	22%	+0.22