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2

Beautiful Diamond

5yo Mare · 9-2 · OR 104

Ayr · Arran Scottish Sprint EBF Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 5f 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner of 3 listed races already at this track, including this last year, and she produced a career best with a smart third in the Group 2 Temple Stakes at Haydock in May. Disappointed back here following month but she seems best fresh. Can bounce back with a bang.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Curragh 15/09/2024 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 104 · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/09/2024 · OR 104 par15/091OR 1041 @ Ascot 05/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 104 · 5f Sft 127 · beat its mark05/10/2024 · OR 104 par1 @ Newmarket 03/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 104 · 5f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2025 · OR 104 par3/051OR 1041 @ Ayr 19/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 102 · 5f110y Sft 128 · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 102 par1 @ Ascot 04/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 105 · 5f Sft 127 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 105 par4/101OR 1051 @ Bath 05/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 105 · 5f10y Goo 138 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 105 par1 @ ParisLongchamp 10/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 104 · 4f213y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 104 par10/051OR 1041 @ Haydock 23/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 102 · 5f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 102 par1 @ Ayr 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 105 · 5f Sft 135 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 105 par20/061OR 105projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Ayr13rd3rd0
2026-05-23Haydock13rd3rd+0
2026-05-10ParisLongchamp19th9th+0
2026-04-05Bath13rd3rd0
2025-10-04Ascot12nd2nd0
2025-09-19Ayr11st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0919/0910/0520/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength88%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20248th25/10%59%+0.59
05/10/20242nd3/184%80%-0.04
03/05/20258th9/276%30%-0.46
19/09/20251st85/4089%100%+0.11
04/10/20252nd9/488%89%+0.01
05/04/20263rd11/486%85%-0.01
10/05/20269th6/168%0%-0.68
23/05/20263rd28/10%82%+0.82
20/06/20263rd11/893%86%-0.07