13
Lam Yai
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 92
Ayr · Arran Scottish Sprint EBF Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Listed) · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | York | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 17th | 18th | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Doncaster | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Ayr | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Ripon | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Naas | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +11.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 8th | 10/11 | 95% | 0% | -0.95 |
| 25/06/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/07/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 25/08/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 20/08/2026 | 17th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |