4

Jordan Electrics
10yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 86
Ayr · Ladbrokes Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Thirsk | 3 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ayr | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Hamilton | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ayr | 4 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Hamilton | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 2478% of fieldRange 11-25 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 24.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.01 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.17 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 28/08/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.00 |