4

Jordan Electrics

10yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 86

Ayr · Ladbrokes Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Back to winning ways in first-time cheekpieces over C&D (firm) in July. Another fine effort in the new headgear when third at his beloved Hamilton next time but his run of good form came to a halt at Thirsk since. Third in this race in 2023.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 09/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 28 · OR 91 · 7f Goo 126 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 91 par9/052OR 913 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 90 · 5f7y Gd 138 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 90 par3 @ Carlisle 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 88 · 5f182y Goo 133 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 88 par30/053OR 884 @ Hamilton 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 86 · 5f7y Goo 143 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 86 par4 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR 84 · 6f Gd 141 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 84 par6/074OR 842 @ Hamilton 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 6f6y Goo 127 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 84 par3 @ Ayr 20/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 82 · 6f GF 133 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 82 par20/073OR 823 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 86 · 5f7y GS 136 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 86 par3 @ Thirsk 28/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 86 · 6f Gd 136 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 86 par28/083OR 86projClass-projected finish: 4th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Thirsk310th11th1
2026-08-21Hamilton33rd4th1
2026-07-20Ayr31st2nd1
2026-07-17Hamilton23rd3rd0
2026-07-06Ayr48th10th2
2026-06-17Hamilton44th6th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0517/0620/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 2478% of fieldRange 11-25 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength12%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 24.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/05/20266th28/10%81%+0.81
17/05/20269th9/276%33%-0.43
30/05/20265th6/168%69%+0.01
17/06/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
06/07/20268th5/174%56%-0.17
17/07/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
20/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
21/08/20263rd17/255%80%+0.25
28/08/202610th10/147%47%-0.00