20
Society Kiss
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 83
Ayr · Ladbrokes Ayr Bronze Cup Handicap · 6f
#22
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#22
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Kempton | 4 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-06-08 | Windsor | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Southwell | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-06-18 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2025-05-09 | Ascot | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish24th of 240% of fieldRange 18-25 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 24th of 24. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 18/06/2025 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 26/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |