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6

Eve's Boy

4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 62

Ayr · Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap (Div 1) · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hit-and-miss performer who has fallen a long way in the weights. Back down in distance having failed to see things out following another 6 weeks off at Redcar (1¼m) last time. Well treated if first-time visor has the desired effect (too free in cheekpieces earlier in the season).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 21/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 76 · 1m13y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/11/2025 · OR 76 par21/114OR 764 @ Newcastle 01/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m5y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/01/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Newcastle 13/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m5y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/01/2026 · OR 73 par13/014OR 735 @ Southwell 05/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 70 · 1m13y Std 132 · beat its mark05/02/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Thirsk 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 68 · 7f218y Gd 133 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 68 par10/045OR 685 @ Ayr 05/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 69 · 1m Goo 131 · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Hamilton 27/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m68y Goo 133 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 68 par27/055OR 685 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 67 · 7f50y Gd 135 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 65 · 1m2f1y Goo 138 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 65 par22/085OR 65projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Redcar57th7th0
2026-07-06Ayr58th8th0
2026-05-27Hamilton56th6th0
2026-05-05Ayr56th6th0
2026-04-10Thirsk52nd2nd0
2026-02-05Southwell57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/115/0227/0522/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20255th12/137%56%+0.19
01/01/20267th11/271%25%-0.46
13/01/20267th11/271%0%-0.71
05/02/20267th6/168%40%-0.28
10/04/20262nd4/179%92%+0.13
05/05/20266th11/588%17%-0.72
27/05/20266th3/184%17%-0.68
06/07/20268th11/142%30%-0.12
22/08/20267th13/266%25%-0.41