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2

Invincible Ruby

4yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 68

Ayr · Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap (Div 1) · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Already notched a pair of 6f Carlisle wins (both good ground) this summer. Since chased home subsequent winner at York and threatened even more than her 1½-length third at Hamilton (6f, soft) last time. Will need to settle again if she's to get home over 1m, though (too free sole previous try).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 01/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 68 · 6f Std 133 · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 68 par1/055OR 685 @ Carlisle 18/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 65 · 5f182y GS 127 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Hamilton 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 62 · 6f6y Goo 127 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 62 par4/065OR 626 @ Carlisle 15/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 60 · 5f182y Goo 140 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Pontefract 21/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 60 · 6f Goo 140 · beat its mark21/06/2026 · OR 60 par21/066OR 605 @ Carlisle 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 65 · 5f182y Gd 145 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 65 par4 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 67 · 7f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 67 par24/074OR 675 @ Haydock 07/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 68 · 6f212y Goo 129 · beat its mark07/08/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 68 · 6f6y Sft 133 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 68 par2/095OR 68projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Hamilton53rd3rd0
2026-08-07Haydock59th9th0
2026-07-24York42nd1st+1
2026-07-04Carlisle51st1st0
2026-06-21Pontefract63rd4th−1
2026-06-15Carlisle61st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0515/0624/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength78%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/202612th33/10%0%0.00
18/05/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
04/06/20264th66/10%63%+0.63
15/06/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
21/06/20263rd5/174%80%+0.06
04/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
24/07/20262nd33/10%94%+0.94
07/08/20269th8/158%20%-0.38
02/09/20263rd11/271%75%+0.04