Royale Union

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 68

Ayr · Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap (Div 1) · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼1

Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.3

Today: 5

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-26	Catterick	4	4th	3rd	+1	7.2
2026-08-03	Ripon	4	2nd	1st	+1	9.2
2026-07-29	Redcar	4	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-07-05	Southwell	5	7th	7th	0	3.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▬

Strength53%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
05/07/2026	7th	11/2	71%	45%	-0.26
29/07/2026	3rd	11/4	86%	67%	-0.19
03/08/2026	2nd	15/8	90%	80%	-0.10
26/08/2026	4th	11/4	86%	57%	-0.28