Up The Jazz
5yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 68
Ayr · Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap (Div 2) · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Musselburgh | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Redcar | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 25/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |