10
Yaaser
8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 55
Ayr · Zenith Ltd Building Partnerships That Last Handicap (Div 2) · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Hamilton | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ayr | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ayr | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Carlisle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 22/06/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 36% | -0.37 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 02/09/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 22% | -0.33 |