Two Auld Pals
8yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 67
Ayr · Slater Menswear Handicap · 1m 5f 26y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Hexham | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Hexham | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Carlisle | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-01-13 | Ayr | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Musselburgh | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Kelso | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 05/09/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 19/09/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 13/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 16/02/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 46% | -0.14 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |