6

Fancy N' Flight

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 76

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 2f

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 31/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f 11931/08C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 05/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 69 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark05/10/2025 · OR 69 par5/10C6OR 69C6 @ Saratoga 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 77 par1/08C6OR 77projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Saratoga?7th7th0
2025-10-05Belmont At The Big A?2nd2nd0
2025-08-31Saratoga?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/085/101/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -25.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/202510th16/116%18%+0.02
05/10/20252nd40/10%90%+0.90
01/08/20267th7/163%14%-0.49