10

Miss Snaffles

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 59

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 2f

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Penn National 07/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f Slo 1227/08C6C6 @ Monmouth Park 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 34 · 1m110y Fm 123 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 34 par17/07C6OR 34C6 @ Monmouth Park 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 52 · 1m110y Gd 125 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 52 par7/09C6OR 52projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Monmouth Park?5th5th0
2026-07-17Monmouth Park?6th6th0
2025-08-07Penn National?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0817/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%

Delivery trend +16.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/08/20256th20/10%0%0.00
17/07/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
07/09/20265th33/10%33%+0.33