2
One Bad Habit
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 57
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 2f
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Meadowlands | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 12/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 12/11/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 16/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |