3
Runyon Canyon
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 92
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 2f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Del Mar | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-06-17 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-05-26 | Santa Anita | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -8.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2023 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/03/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 28/04/2024 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 26/05/2024 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 17/06/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 28/03/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 17/05/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |