8
Sister Jean
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 82
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 2f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |