7

Stand The Rain

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 77

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 2f

#7

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Aqueduct 27/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 7f Fas 11927/12C6C6 @ Aqueduct 23/01/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 63 · 1m Fas 120 · beat its mark23/01/2025 · OR 63 parC6 @ Aqueduct 22/03/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark22/03/2025 · OR 68 par22/03C6OR 68C6 @ Aqueduct 17/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 70 · 1m1f Fas 118 · beat its mark17/04/2025 · OR 70 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 76 · 1m1f110y Fm 120 · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 76 par26/10C6OR 76C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 78 · 1m3f Slo 126 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 78 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 76 · 1m1f110y Fm 126 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 76 par25/06C6OR 76C6 @ Saratoga 22/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 77 · 1m1f110y 126 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 77 par22/08C6OR 77projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-06-25Belmont At The Big A?3rd3rd0
2026-05-25Belmont At The Big A?4th4th0
2025-10-26Belmont At The Big A?5th5th0
2025-04-17Aqueduct?3rd3rd0
2025-03-22Aqueduct?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1217/0425/0622/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength79%

Delivery trend -0.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/12/20243rd20/10%33%+0.33
23/01/20255th6/168%43%-0.26
22/03/20257th8/158%0%-0.58
17/04/20253rd8/158%60%+0.02
26/10/20255th14/126%64%+0.37
25/05/20264th7/163%25%-0.38
25/06/20263rd5/174%60%-0.14
22/08/20262nd9/276%86%+0.09