7

Stand The Rain
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 77
Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 2f
#7
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-04-17 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 23/01/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 22/03/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 17/04/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |