14

Buccherita

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 67

Belmont Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 09/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 1239/08C6C6 @ Saratoga 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 62 · 5f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 62 par30/08C6OR 62projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-08-09Saratoga?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +39.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20269th40/10%27%+0.27
30/08/20264th25/10%67%+0.67