9

Cream Of The Crop

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 73

Belmont Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f 1236/08C6C6 @ Saratoga 30/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 72 par30/08C6OR 72projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Saratoga?6th6th0
2026-08-06Saratoga?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%

Delivery trend +31.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20266th10/147%44%-0.03
30/08/20266th14/126%55%+0.28