13

Early And Often

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 62

Belmont Park · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 7f

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 23/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 12323/07C6C6 @ Saratoga 20/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 66 · 6f110y 123 · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 66 par20/08C6OR 66projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Saratoga?4th4th0
2026-07-23Saratoga?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0720/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%

Delivery trend +33.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20268th16/116%22%+0.06
20/08/20264th20/10%40%+0.40