13

So Angelina

2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 57

Belmont Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y

#13

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Saratoga 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 1234/06C6C6 @ Saratoga 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 39 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 39 par10/07C6OR 39C6 @ Saratoga 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 51 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 51 par1/08C6OR 51C5 @ Saratoga 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 55 · 5f110y Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 55 par27/08C5OR 55projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Saratoga?6th4th+2
2026-08-01Saratoga?6th6th0
2026-07-10Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-06-04Saratoga?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0610/071/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
10/07/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
01/08/20266th33/10%0%0.00
27/08/20266th50/10%29%+0.29