Adios Cole
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 105
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Del Mar | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 27/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 17/01/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 23/08/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 9% | -0.62 |