3
Mutaawid
6yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 102
Belmont Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 2f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/09/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 64% | -0.22 |
| 12/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 21/02/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 18% | -0.58 |
| 16/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 07/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |