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2

Stars And Stripes

4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 108

Belmont Park · Race 5 - Jockey Club Gold Cup Stakes - Grade 1 · 1m 2f

#3

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 2.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: -3.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 17/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m Fas 11817/05C6C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 15/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 97 · 1m1f Slo 118 · beat its mark15/06/2025 · OR 97 parC5 @ Saratoga 17/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 102 · 1m1f 120 · beat its mark17/07/2025 · OR 102 par17/07C5OR 102C5 @ Aqueduct 08/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 105 · 1m Fas 118 · below its mark08/11/2025 · OR 105 parC6 @ Gulfstream 16/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 102 · 1m110y Fas 121 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 102 par16/01C6OR 102C6 @ Oaklawn Park 08/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 107 · 1m1f Slo 118 · beat its mark08/03/2026 · OR 107 parC1 @ Keeneland 18/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 110 · 1m1f110y 118 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 110 par18/04C1OR 110C0 @ Saratoga 04/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 111 · 1m2f Fas 122 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 111 parC5 @ Saratoga 13/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 109 · 1m6f Fas 126 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 109 par13/08C5OR 109projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Saratoga?1st6th−4
2026-07-04Saratoga?8th8th−0
2026-04-18Keeneland?1st2nd−0
2026-03-08Oaklawn Park?1st7th−5
2026-01-16Gulfstream?2nd8th−5
2025-11-08Aqueduct?4th9th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/058/1118/0413/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20253rd25/10%71%+0.71
15/06/20251st8/1397%100%+0.03
17/07/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
08/11/20254th10/382%0%-0.82
16/01/20262nd2/189%75%-0.14
08/03/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
18/04/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
04/07/20268th5/174%30%-0.44
13/08/20261st9/488%100%+0.12