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8

Inspeightofcharlie

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 94

Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Belmont At The Big A 28/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 81 par28/09C9OR 81C6 @ Belmont At The Big A 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 83 parC6 @ Gulfstream 22/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fas 120 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 88 par22/11C6OR 88C6 @ Gulfstream 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 89 · 1m1f110y Fas 123 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 89 parC6 @ Gulfstream 14/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 88 par14/02C6OR 88C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 10/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/05/2026 · OR 91 parC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 91 · 1m110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 91 par26/06C5OR 91C5 @ Saratoga 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 92 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 92 parC6 @ Saratoga 16/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 92 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 92 par16/08C6OR 92projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Saratoga?2nd2nd0
2026-07-25Saratoga?1st0th+1
2026-06-26Belmont At The Big A?5th4th+1
2026-05-10Belmont At The Big A?2nd1st+1
2026-02-14Gulfstream?1st2nd−1
2026-01-09Gulfstream?3rd4th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/099/0126/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -6.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/20252nd12/137%91%+0.54
25/10/20253rd15/261%78%+0.17
22/11/20252nd10/147%83%+0.36
09/01/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
14/02/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
10/05/20262nd9/488%91%+0.03
26/06/20265th5/493%50%-0.43
25/07/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
16/08/20262nd11/893%89%-0.04