Jaxer
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 92
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-07-16 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |