12
Miztertonic
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 103
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | -3th | +5 |
| 2026-05-07 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 83% | -0.13 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 10% | -0.56 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |