6
Mo Trump
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 84
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#14
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
Delivery trend +7.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 13/10/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 06/11/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 24/12/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 22/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 16/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |