Ramblin' Wreck
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 98
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 06/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 03/01/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 07/06/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |