Shared Success
9yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 88
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 20% | -0.69 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |