13
Straight Arrow
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 100
Belmont Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-19 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-12-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-10-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2023 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/10/2023 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/11/2023 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 17/10/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 22/12/2024 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |