Barker
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 85
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 6f 110y
#14
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-10 | Keeneland | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-08 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 14th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 22/10/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 45% | -0.12 |
| 16/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |