Ghazaaly
8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 103
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Santa Anita | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Santa Anita | ? | 4th | -3th | +6 |
| 2026-01-19 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 23/08/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 30/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 19/01/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |