6
Momentum Files
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 89
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 16/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |