
Sea Vista
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 93
Belmont Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-02-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2024 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 90% | -0.03 |
| 29/12/2024 | 5th | 4/9 | 98% | 64% | -0.34 |
| 28/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 64% | -0.31 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |