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10

Amy's Light

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 76

Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 7f

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 86 · 1m 122 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 86 par26/09C5OR 86C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 91 · 7f Fas 121 · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 91 parC7 @ Aqueduct 07/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 87 · 7f Fas 120 · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 87 par7/11C7OR 87C5 @ Aqueduct 26/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 95 · 1m1f Fas 121 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 95 parC7 @ Aqueduct 09/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 83 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark09/01/2026 · OR 83 par9/01C7OR 83C7 @ Aqueduct 10/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 77 · 1m 126 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 77 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 30/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 77 · 6f110y Slo 126 · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 77 par30/04C7OR 77C5 @ Belmont At The Big A 14/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 83 · 6f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 75 · 7f Fas 126 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 75 par20/06C7OR 75projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Belmont At The Big A?5th7th−2
2026-05-14Belmont At The Big A?3rd3rd0
2026-04-30Belmont At The Big A?3rd5th−2
2026-04-10Aqueduct?4th6th−2
2026-01-09Aqueduct?4th6th−2
2025-12-26Aqueduct?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0926/1230/0420/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 15-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/09/20253rd8/158%60%+0.02
26/10/20255th16/116%43%+0.27
07/11/20256th25/10%38%+0.38
26/12/20256th12/137%17%-0.20
09/01/20264th15/261%40%-0.21
10/04/20264th33/10%40%+0.40
30/04/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16
14/05/20263rd6/168%60%-0.08
20/06/20265th10/382%43%-0.40