5
Dancingwithdestiny
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 85
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 03/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |