3
Fabulous Fox
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 75
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 17/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 19/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 28/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/07/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |