11
Garden Of Grace
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 70
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-05-17 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |