14

Juliet On Approach
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 67
Belmont Park · Race 9 - Allowance · 7f
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-04-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 18/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 23/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 28/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 22/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |